Morning Market Update - 8 April 2021

By Phillip Smith - April 08, 2021

Pre-Open Data

International Markets vs Australian Market

Key Data for the Week

  • Wednesday – US – Goods and Services Trade Balance deficit grew to a record US$71.1 billion in February, as a decline in exports largely offset the slight dip in imports.
  • Thursday – US – Initial Jobless Claims
  • Thursday – EUR – Producer Price Index

    S&P ASX 200 Last 12 Months


Australian Market

The Australian sharemarket rose 0.6% yesterday, as all sectors posted gains, as the local index closed at its highest level since the coronavirus pandemic was declared. The Energy, REITS and Information Technology sectors led the gains, all up between 1.0% and 1.4%.

Travel related companies continued to strengthen following Tuesday’s announcement of the opening of the Trans-Tasman bubble; Flight Centre and Webjet added 1.5% and 1.1% respectively, while Qantas rose 2.7%.

The big four banks all rose between 0.3% and 0.6% to help lift the Financials sector. EML Payments added 5.5% after the company said it will buy European payments provider Sentenial for $108.6 million to enter the open banking market in the region.

The Materials sector was lifted by lithium miners Pilbara Minerals and Galaxy Resources, which lifted 6.4% and 5.8% respectively, while mining heavyweights Rio Tinto rose 1.2% and BHP added 0.1%, while Fortescue Metals slipped 0.2%.

Cleanaway Waste Management eased 4.7% after Tuesday’s 15.9% rally, caused by the announcement of their takeover of Suez R&R Australia.

The Australian futures market points to a 0.52% rise today, driven by stronger overseas markets.

Overseas Markets

European sharemarkets were mixed on Wednesday. Tesco added 1.3% and HelloFresh lifted 6.1% to recover from recent weakness, while Barclays rose 1.0% as it continues to strengthen. The export heavy UK FTSE 100 lifted 0.9% as it benefitted from a weaker pound, while the broad based STOXX Europe 600 closed down 0.2%.

US sharemarkets were also mixed overnight, with the Communication Services, Information Technology and Energy sectors the best performers. Alphabet, Amazon and Apple all rose between 1.1% and 1.7%, while payment providers PayPal, MasterCard and Visa all added between 0.3% and 1.0%.

By the close of trade, the Dow Jones rose 0.1%, the S&P 500 added 0.2% and the NASDAQ slipped 0.1%.

CNIS Perspective

The growth of the middle class around the world, particularly in developing countries, has been a significant economic trend for the past few decades, and a trend that was thought would continue to grow indefinitely.

Rising incomes and standard of living was a theme behind many investment strategies as millions of essentially younger populations emerged from poverty.

However, COVID-19 has reversed this multi-decade trend, with the global middle class shrinking last year for the first time since the 1990s.

India and South Asia were the hardest hit, with the largest number of people falling out of the middle and upper-middle classes in 2020. It is estimated these classes are made up of 2.5 billion people, or one third of the world’s population.

No doubt the trend out of poverty will recommence as soon as life returns to ‘normal’. These people have had a taste of the finer things in life and it is only a matter of time before they resume the previous trend out of poverty into the middle class.

Reduction in estimated combined size of middle and upper-middle classes in 2020

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