Morning Market Update - 5 May 2021

By Phillip Smith - May 05, 2021

Pre-Open Data

International Markets vs Australian Market

Key Data for the Week

  • Tuesday – AUS – Interest Rate Decision – The RBA left the official cash rate unchanged and reiterated their intention for it to remain this way until 2024.
  • Tuesday – US – Trade Balance widened to a US$74.4 billion deficit in March.
  • Wednesday – AUS – Building Approvals
  • Wednesday – EUR – Produce Price Index

    S&P ASX 200 Last 12 Months

Australian Market

The Australian sharemarket closed 0.6% higher on Tuesday, buoyed by increases in the Materials sector. The price of gold rose by 1.0%, which resulted in gold miners Northern Star Resources and Newcrest Mining gaining 4.2% and 1.5% respectively. An increase in investor confidence in the Materials sector also led to gains in BHP and Rio Tinto, with both adding 2.5%.

Energy shares also enjoyed gains overnight, aided by an increase in the price of oil. Woodside Petroleum lifted 1.5%, Santos added 2.4% and Oil Search increased 2.1%. Emerging uranium miner, Paladin Energy, added an impressive 19.0% to reach a new 52-week high.

The Financials sector closed relatively flat ahead of a key week of earnings announcements. Commonwealth Bank was the best performer of the big four banks, gaining 0.8%, while ANZ and Westpac both conceded 0.9%. NAB eked out a gain of less than 0.1%.

The Information Technology sector weighed on the Australian sharemarket, which closed ~2.0% lower. Buy-now-pay-later companies Afterpay and Zip shed 2.8% and 1.9% respectively, while Artificial Intelligence developer, Appen, lost 1.2%.

The Australian futures market points to a 0.37% fall today, driven by weaker overseas markets.

Overseas Markets

European sharemarkets were lower on Tuesday, weakened by a steep decline in the Information Technology sector. The sector had been trading at record highs due to the economic recovery and a positive earnings season, although this recent drop is said to be caused by investors profit-taking and shifting into more defensive areas of the market. As a result, the pan-European STOXX 600 closed 1.4% lower.

US sharemarkets closed mostly weaker overnight, with the Information Technology sector again weighing on the indices. Concerns regarding rising interest rates meant that investors shifted away from the high-flying growth stocks, with Apple losing 3.5%, Spotify shedding 3.1% and Amazon dropping 2.2%.

By the close of trade, the Dow Jones closed relatively flat and the S&P 500 fell 0.7%, while the NASDAQ lost 1.9%.

CNIS Perspective

Mass rollouts of COVID-19 vaccines is key to achieving herd immunity. The faster a nation can achieve this goal, the more likely they are at easing border restrictions and increasing leisure activities, leading to greater economic performance.

However, herd immunity requires either infection or vaccination. Currently, targets to meeting herd immunity are estimated to be about ~70% of the population and may move higher again as contagious variants continue to develop.

However, the issue lies with the individual being willing to receive the jab and the concern for policymakers is, will we ever get there?

A recent study has shown large differences among countries, with the majority of unvaccinated UK citizens willing to receive the vaccine, but more reluctance among the US, Japan, France and Australia.

The less support for the jab, the reduced chances of reopening global borders and meeting herd immunity goals. Unless something changes, some countries, including our own, may never get there.

Percentage of unvaccinated people who would get a vaccine this week if they could

Should you wish to discuss this or any other investment related matter, please contact your Investment Services Team on (02) 4928 8500.


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